Will the October 2026 US jobs report show nonfarm payrolls above +50,000?
EconomíaWeeklyMacro y economía4d
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPronóstico comunitario actualSí 53.2%
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Actualizado hace 9 horas
Desactualizado29 oct 26, 7:44 UTC6 nov 26, 13:00 UTC
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Resolves YES if the first release of the BLS Employment Situation report for October 2026 shows a total nonfarm payroll employment change (seasonally adjusted, headline number) strictly greater than +50,000.
- Resolves NO if it is +50,000 or lower.
- Source: bls.gov Employment Situation Summary, scheduled for Friday 6 November 2026 at 8:30 am ET (13:30 UTC).
- Later revisions do not count.
- If the release is delayed, the market resolves on the first release whenever it is published.
- Trading closes at 13:00 UTC on 6 November, 30 minutes before the release.
