Will the number of U.S. Supreme Court Justices confirmed between June 15, 2026 and January 20, 2029 be at least one?
PolíticaOne-OffPolítica de EE. UU.Elección2a
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 86.9%
Pronosticadores
11
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 23 horas
Desactualizado15 jun 26, 14:09 UTC20 ene 29, 23:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsReglas
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if, between June 15, 2026, and January 20, 2029 (inclusive), the United States Senate votes to confirm at least one nominee to the Supreme Court of the United States.
- Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.
- Date Range: The official Senate confirmation vote must take place on or after June 15, 2026, and on or before 11:59:59 AM ET on January 20, 2029.
- Definition of Confirmation: A nominee is considered "confirmed" when the U.S. Senate passes a vote to advise and consent to the nomination.
- Actual swearing-in, taking the judicial oath, or officially assuming office is not required for a "YES" resolution, provided the Senate confirmation vote is successful within the specified timeframe.
