What will be the Republican-Democrat balance of US Supreme Court justices by the 2029 inauguration?
PolíticaOne-OffPolítica de EE. UU.2a
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
6-3 (balance as of 2024) 72.9%Líder entre 6 opciones
6-3 (balance as of 2024) 72.9%Pronosticadores
11
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 52 minutos
Retrasado27 ene 25, 4:01 UTC21 ene 29, 6:59 UTC
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Reglas
What will be the Republican-Democrat balance of US Supreme Court justices by the 2029 inauguration?
- Resolves based on the number of Republican elected justices to Democratic elected justices as of January 20, 2029 (even if the inauguration does not happen on that date).
- I will create more options (from the "Other" category) if there will likely not be nine justices as of that date.
- If a justice "changes party" in a notable way (for example, makes a public announcement, or consistently votes with justices from the other party on partisan decisions), they will be considered to have swapped parties.
- Resolves N/A if the US Supreme Court no longer exists.
