¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will the North Atlantic right whale be considered functionally extinct before 2040??

Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 75.5% a fecha de 27 de octubre de 2026.

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Will the North Atlantic right whale be considered functionally extinct before 2040?

One-OffCiencia13a

Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptable

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Sí 75.5%

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Play-money forecasting platform

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Actualizado hace 6 horas

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12 jun 23, 16:48 UTC12 dic 39, 23:59 UTC

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Was watching a video from MayaHiga, a streamer/conservationist and it mentioned that North Atlantic right whale are predicted to be functionally extinct by 2035 and full on extinction by 2044.

(https://www.youtube.com/embed/uIoI4na-gUs) The source of the figures being quoted by the executive director of WDC wasn't made clear.
It seems to conflict with Wikipedia who lists them as an example of a species that some scientists already consider functionally extinct.
So, for this market to resolve YES, I'll defer to WDC's stance on whether they are considered functionally extinct.
This market will resolve YES if at any point before 2040 a declaration of functional extinction is made which at the time is believed to be true (even if it is later proven wrong).

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Will the North Atlantic right whale be considered functionally extinct before 2040?

Will the North Atlantic right whale be considered functionally extinct before 2040?

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