Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 78.9%
Pronosticadores
12
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 8 horas
Desactualizado25 feb 25, 5:09 UTC5 mar 50, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Reglas
Resolves YES if an ecumenical council is convened by the pope following Pope Francis (An ecumenical council in any location is enough to resolve this as YES.
- It does not have to happen in Vatican City, and does not have to be called "Vatican 3." The name is just making reference to Vatican 2, the most recent ecumenical council).
- Resolves N/A if Pope Francis convenes an ecumenical council, or there's somehow no new pope before 2040.
Mercados abiertos
Religion
POLYMARKETWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?
- No99%
- Yes1%
- Volumen total
- 56,4 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 12,6 mil €
KALSHIWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
- No96%
- Yes-76.0pt4%
- Volumen total
- 8,4 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 7,4 mil €
KALSHIWho will the next Pope be?
- Pietro Parolin5%
- Luis Antonio Tagle5%
- Matteo Zuppi4%
+4 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 118 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 63,7 €
PREDICTITWill the Pope excommunicate JD Vance before 2028?
- No96%
- Yes4%
- Volumen total
- 674,4 €
- Volumen 24h
- —
FUTUURRestrictions on the use of the Traditional Latin Mass in the Catholic Church: loosened in 2026?
- No81%
- Yes19%
- Volumen total
- 3,1 €
- Volumen 24h
- —
MANIFOLD MARKETSGutsickGibbon has agreed to teach evolution to creationist Will Duffy. Will Pastor Duffy change his mind? (Rules below)
- Yes55.3%
- No44.7%
- Volumen total
- 2,8 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- —
- Catholic Church in Germany ordains women before Christmas 2028?
- Will the Catholic and Eastern Orthodox Churches reconcile before 2050?
- Will membership in the LDS church decline YoY in any year between now and 2030
- Will @Austin Chen still believe in God at the end of 2026?
- What percentage of humans will follow Islam in 2100?
- Will there be a trend spike for the term "Animism" before 2035?
- Will Robin Hanson adopt a religion by mid 2028
- Scientology loses IRS Tax-exempt status
- Will Joe Rogan convert to Islam by the end of 2030?
- Will Jesus Christ return in 2026?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will the next pope convene Vatican 3??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 79% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will the next pope convene Vatican 3??
- Está previsto que Will the next pope convene Vatican 3? se resuelva el 5 de marzo de 2050.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will the next pope convene Vatican 3??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolves YES if an ecumenical council is convened by the pope following Pope Francis (An ecumenical council in any location is enough to resolve this as YES.