Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 85.6%
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40
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Actualizado hace 11 horas
Desactualizado20 may 26, 4:22 UTC1 oct 26, 4:20 UTC
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Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will the next full gemini model be as good as opus 4.7 or gpt 5.5 at coding?
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KalshiReglas
resolves to my impression a week or two after launch and I've had the opportunity to try it out. i should want to use it just as much as openai’s model and anthropic’s for coding mnx.fi.
- Flash/instant/mini doesn't count.
- Should be pro or similar. 3.2 pro-preview, 3.5 pro, 4 pro all okay
- Update 2026-05-20 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Speed considerations: If a Gemini model lacks a fast tier (e.g., like Opus's fast tier) and that alone causes the creator to prefer other models, that is not sufficient to resolve NO.
- However, the model must still be reasonably fast to be considered frontier.
Mercados abiertos
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will the next full gemini model be frontier at coding??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 86% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will the next full gemini model be frontier at coding??
- Está previsto que Will the next full gemini model be frontier at coding? se resuelva el 1 de octubre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will the next full gemini model be frontier at coding??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: resolves to my impression a week or two after launch and I've had the opportunity to try it out. i should want to use it just as much as openai’s model and anthropic’s for coding mnx.fi.