Manifold MarketsCerradoSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableEste mercado se resolvió: No (89.2%)
Resuelto: 1 oct 2026, 0:38
Resolución verificada por el proveedor
CoinRithm tiene evidencia del ganador y del momento de liquidación respaldada por el proveedor para este mercado.
Aviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 1 oct 2026, 11:53 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Cronología de Probabilidad
Yes10.8%
No89.2%
Ganada
Perdida
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Manifold MarketsReglas
resolves to my impression a week or two after launch and I've had the opportunity to try it out. i should want to use it just as much as openai’s model and anthropic’s for coding mnx.fi.
- Flash/instant/mini doesn't count.
- Should be pro or similar. 3.2 pro-preview, 3.5 pro, 4 pro all okay
- Update 2026-05-20 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Speed considerations: If a Gemini model lacks a fast tier (e.g., like Opus's fast tier) and that alone causes the creator to prefer other models, that is not sufficient to resolve NO.
- However, the model must still be reasonably fast to be considered frontier.