Will the METR AI coding uplift market be resolved based on the Feb 2026 updated estimate?
IAOne-Off2m
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPronóstico comunitario actualNo 70.2%
Pronosticadores
10
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 2 horas
Desactualizado24 feb 26, 18:32 UTC1 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
What will be the METR AI coding uplift multiple in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich AI coding agent repo gains the most GitHub stars by Nov 27, 2026: opencode, Claude Code, Codex or Gemini CLI?
Manifold MarketsWho is Dwarkesh's upcoming "biggest guest yet"?
Manifold MarketsWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketAnthropic announces bankruptcy by which date?
PolymarketBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiReglas
The market in question:
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/Bayesian/what-will-be-the-metr-ai-coding-upl?r=QmF5ZXNpYW4)The Feb 2026 updated estimate in question:
- https://metr.org/blog/2026-02-24-uplift-update/