Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPronóstico comunitario actualSí 94.4%
Pronosticadores
30
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 1 hora
Retrasado9 ene 26, 23:05 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will the current wave of Iranian protests be suppressed by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the Iranian protests end?
Manifold MarketsUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
PolymarketWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
PolymarketUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by which date?
PolymarketKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
PolymarketReglas
This market resolves YES if, as of December 31, 2026, all of the following conditions are met:
- - The current wave of protests (beginning December 28, 2025) has substantially subsided
- - The Islamic Republic system of government remains intact
- - Cumulative protester deaths reached or exceeded 1,500 according to credible sources (Amnesty International, Iran Human Rights, HRANA, or Reuters)
- Resolves NO if:
- - The Islamic Republic fell or underwent fundamental constitutional change, OR
