Will the highest-scoring LLM on Dec 31, 2026 show <10% improvement over 2025's best average benchmark performance?

Preguntas frecuentes

¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will the highest-scoring LLM on Dec 31, 2026 show <10% improvement over 2025's best average benchmark performance??

Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 82.9% a fecha de 26 de octubre de 2026.

¿Cuándo se resuelve Will the highest-scoring LLM on Dec 31, 2026 show <10% improvement over 2025's best average benchmark performance??

Está previsto que Will the highest-scoring LLM on Dec 31, 2026 show <10% improvement over 2025's best average benchmark performance? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.

¿Cómo se liquida Will the highest-scoring LLM on Dec 31, 2026 show <10% improvement over 2025's best average benchmark performance??

Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: BASELINE (2025 leader): The current leader as of Aug 2025 appears to be GPT-4.5 with ~90.2% on MMLU, with Claude 4 and Gemini 2.5 Pro at ~85-86%

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POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO by which date?

• December 31,+12.0pt95%
• December 15,+11.0pt93%
• November 30,+24.0pt88%

+15 resultados más

Volumen total

5,2 M €

Volumen 24h

313,2 mil €

KALSHI

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

• Before Apr 1, 2027+4.0pt96.5%
• Before Feb 1, 2027+8.0pt96.5%
• Before Mar 1, 2027+6.0pt

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T+3.0pt31.4%
• $2.0–$2.25T+2.3pt21.6%
• $1.5–$1.75T-0.6pt17.6%

+7 resultados más

KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Claude+0.1pt56.6%
• Gemini+1.8pt32.6%
• ChatGPT-1.2pt

POLYMARKET

What will Anthropic's public ticker be?

• $ANT+45.5pt100%
• $AAI-9.8pt0%
• $ANAI-2.8pt0%

+6 resultados más

POLYMARKET

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by which date?

• December 31+2.6pt96%
• October 31-7.8pt37%
• October 30-12.0pt33%

+17 resultados más

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