Pronóstico comunitario actual
No 88.5%
Pronosticadores
17
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
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Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 55 minutos
Retrasado1 ene 26, 18:36 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
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Will any UK political party consistently poll at 35% or higher in 2026?
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Manifold MarketsReglas
The Green Party of England and Wales has been on a tear since Zack Polanski took charge in September, rising from historic averages of 6-7% to highs of 16%.
- Will that rise continue?
- Resolves YES if Greens rises to and then stays at or above 20% in the Politico Poll of Polls for a period of 14 consecutive days, all of which must fall within 2026 (i.e. the streak cannot start after 17th December).
- Otherwise resolves NO on 17th December.