Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualYES, and she will be the second Chinese citizen to walk on the Moon 35.9%Líder entre 4 opciones
Pronosticadores
7
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 11 horas
Desactualizado22 ago 25, 3:06 UTC31 dic 30, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
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PolymarketReglas
Resolution criteria
- This resolves on China’s first crewed mission that successfully lands taikonauts on the lunar surface (soft landing achieved; mere lunar orbit or aborts don’t count).
- Outcome is determined from official post-mission reports/broadcasts by CMSA/Xinhua/CCTV; if unavailable, reputable wire services (Reuters/AP) may be used.
- “the named outcome” if a woman is the first to step onto the lunar surface on that mission, per official timeline/coverage.
- “the named outcome” if a woman steps onto the surface after a male crewmate from the same mission has already done so.
- “the named outcome” if a woman is assigned to that mission but does not ride the lander and stays in lunar orbit.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will the first Chinese crewed mission to land on the Moon include a woman??
- Manifold Markets cotiza YES, and she will be the second Chinese citizen to walk on the Moon al 36% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will the first Chinese crewed mission to land on the Moon include a woman??
- Está previsto que Will the first Chinese crewed mission to land on the Moon include a woman? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2030.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will the first Chinese crewed mission to land on the Moon include a woman??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolution criteria