Will the Eritrean government collapse before or within 5 years of Isaias Afwerki's death?
One-OffPolíticaGeopolítica
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
No 55.4%
Pronosticadores
4
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 10 minutos
26 may 24, 3:54 UTC2 ene 50, 7:59 UTC
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PolymarketReglas
Isaias Afwerki has been the dictator of Eritrea since its founding in 1993.
- He runs the country completely on his own, does not have a clear second-in-command, and does not have a clear successor in place.
- If, after 5 years of his death, the PFDJ (ruling party) has lost power over the Eritrean government, the question will resolve YES.
- Otherwise, it will resolve NO.
- Edit: I'm so stupid, I forgot the possibility of it collapsing before his death.
- In such case, the question resolves YES.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will the Eritrean government collapse before or within 5 years of Isaias Afwerki's death??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 55% a fecha de 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will the Eritrean government collapse before or within 5 years of Isaias Afwerki's death??
- Está previsto que Will the Eritrean government collapse before or within 5 years of Isaias Afwerki's death? se resuelva el 2 de enero de 2050.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will the Eritrean government collapse before or within 5 years of Isaias Afwerki's death??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Isaias Afwerki has been the dictator of Eritrea since its founding in 1993.