Will the Economist Intelligent Unit stop classifying the United States as a democracy before 2030?
PolíticaOne-OffUS PoliticsElección3aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 88.5%
Pronosticadores
21
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 18 horas
Desactualizado28 mar 25, 20:49 UTC31 dic 29, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
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Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves to YES if the Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU) classifies the United States as either a "hybrid regime" or an "authoritarian regime" in any of its Democracy Index reports published before January 1, 2030.
- It resolves to NO if the United States remains classified as either a "full democracy" or a "flawed democracy" in all EIU Democracy Index reports through the end of 2029.
- The Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU) publishes an annual Democracy Index that categorizes countries into four regime types:
- Full democracies (scores of 8.01-10)
- Flawed democracies (scores of 6.01-8.00)
