Will 50% of all new car sales in the United States be electric by 2030?
Política de EE. UU.One-OffRegulaciónTecnología3aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 72.1%
Pronosticadores
155
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 8 horas
Desactualizado30 oct 23, 4:19 UTC7 ene 30, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will low carbon vehicle sales (e.g. electric, hydrogen, PI hybrid) be more than 50% of all car sales in the USA by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill low carbon vehicle sales (e.g. electric, hydrogen, PI hybrid) be more than 80% of all car sales in the USA by 2030?
Manifold MarketsIn 2030, will most new car sales in Brazil be electric cars?
Manifold MarketsWill at least 1% of new car sales be flying cars by 2040?
Manifold MarketsWill any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?
PolymarketWill OpenAI go public in 2026?
Manifold MarketsReglas
https://www.forbes.com/sites/rinatorchinsky/2023/10/28/best-and-worst-states-to-buy-an-electric-vehicle/?sh=7c69dc351e03
- [link preview]"The Biden administration is shooting for 50% of all new car sales to be electric vehicles by 2030."
- Have to do some thinking, but my current perogrative is that we'll need more than a single month of 50% for the question to resolve "Yes." If for two consecutive quarters before 2030 we have > 50% this question will resolve yes. "if the last month of 2029 is >50% and that trend continues into 2030, the the question will also resolve "Yes."
- Update: This market will remain with 2030 as the deadline.
- There are just too many positions to change.
