Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 93.1%
Pronosticadores
72
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 9 horas
Desactualizado30 ene 26, 16:37 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be leader of Cuba on January 1st 2027?
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Manifold MarketsCuban regime falls in 2026?
PolymarketWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
PolymarketReglas
This market predicts whether Cuba’s current one-party communist regime ceases to govern the country before the end of 2026.
- For the purposes of this market, “regime collapse” refers to a loss of effective political control by the Communist Party of Cuba (PCC), not merely protests, economic deterioration, or leadership reshuffles within the same power structure.
- ✅ Resolves YES if any of the following occur before December 31, 2026:
- The PCC formally loses its constitutional monopoly on power
- A non-PCC government (interim or permanent) assumes control of the Cuban state
- Miguel Díaz-Canel resigns, flees, or is removed and is not replaced by another PCC hardliner
