Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
No 90%
Pronosticadores
71
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 17 horas
Desactualizado30 ene 26, 16:37 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be leader of Cuba on January 1st 2027?
Manifold MarketsWho will be leader of Cuba on January 1st 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Miguel Díaz-Canel be leader of Cuba on January 1st 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
PolymarketCuban regime falls in 2026?
PolymarketWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
LimitlessReglas
This market predicts whether Cuba’s current one-party communist regime ceases to govern the country before the end of 2026.
- For the purposes of this market, “regime collapse” refers to a loss of effective political control by the Communist Party of Cuba (PCC), not merely protests, economic deterioration, or leadership reshuffles within the same power structure.
- ✅ Resolves YES if any of the following occur before December 31, 2026:
- The PCC formally loses its constitutional monopoly on power
- A non-PCC government (interim or permanent) assumes control of the Cuban state
- Miguel Díaz-Canel resigns, flees, or is removed and is not replaced by another PCC hardliner
