Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 50%
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binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
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Actualizado hace 14 horas
Desactualizado25 jul 26, 16:32 UTC31 dic 99, 23:59 UTC
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Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will the Collatz conjecture be resolved by the end of the decade (11:59, 31 December 2029)?
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KalshiReglas
The BB(6) candidate machines seem to exhibit Collatz-like behavior, but in a form that asks about specific sequences rather than a question about all sequences.
- But the BB machines don't tend to ask about cycles, so a lot of relevant tools don't apply.
- BB(6) machine is the same rules as this market:
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/EvanDaniel/will-the-bb6-machine-be-known-by-20)The Weak Collatz Conjecture should be resolved to a similar standard of proof, whether positively or negatively.
- n/a if both are generally agreed to be independent of ZFC.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will the BB(6) machine be found before the Weak Collatz Conjecture is resolved??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 50% a fecha de 17 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will the BB(6) machine be found before the Weak Collatz Conjecture is resolved??
- Está previsto que Will the BB(6) machine be found before the Weak Collatz Conjecture is resolved? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2099.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will the BB(6) machine be found before the Weak Collatz Conjecture is resolved??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: The BB(6) candidate machines seem to exhibit Collatz-like behavior, but in a form that asks about specific sequences rather than a question about all sequences.