Will Spain enact its new asylum law by December 31, 2026?
PolíticaOne-OffEuropaEspacioTecnologíaGeopolíticaOriente Medio2mManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableAviso de calidad de datosDatos de la fuente degradados
Datos del 26 oct 2026, 4:15 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Pronóstico comunitario actualNo 81%
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Actualizado hace 3 horas
Desactualizado26 ago 26, 16:04 UTC31 dic 26, 10:59 UTC
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KalshiReglas
Resolves YES if Spain's replacement asylum law announced on August 25 is enacted and published in the Boletín Oficial del Estado by 11:59 PM Madrid time on December 31, 2026.
- Otherwise resolves NO.
- Approval of a draft or passage by only one chamber does not count.
- A materially revised final law still counts if it replaces Spain's asylum-law framework.
- Sources: Euronews and the Boletín Oficial del Estado.
- The market closes twelve hours before the deadline.
