Will Spain enact its new asylum law by December 31, 2026?
PolíticaOne-OffEuropeSpaceTecnologíaGeopolíticaMiddle East3mManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 81%
Pronosticadores
5
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 2 horas
Desactualizado26 ago 26, 16:04 UTC31 dic 26, 10:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsReglas
Resolves YES if Spain's replacement asylum law announced on August 25 is enacted and published in the Boletín Oficial del Estado by 11:59 PM Madrid time on December 31, 2026.
- Otherwise resolves NO.
- Approval of a draft or passage by only one chamber does not count.
- A materially revised final law still counts if it replaces Spain's asylum-law framework.
- Sources: Euronews and the Boletín Oficial del Estado.
- The market closes twelve hours before the deadline.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Spain enact its new asylum law by December 31, 2026??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 81% a fecha de 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Spain enact its new asylum law by December 31, 2026??
- Está previsto que Will Spain enact its new asylum law by December 31, 2026? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Spain enact its new asylum law by December 31, 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolves YES if Spain's replacement asylum law announced on August 25 is enacted and published in the Boletín Oficial del Estado by 11:59 PM Madrid time on December 31, 2026.