Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
Sí 84.8%
Pronosticadores
182
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 11 horas
Desactualizado31 dic 23, 10:36 UTC31 dic 39, 22:59 UTC
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KalshiReglas
This question will resolve YES if there is no known and publicly available technology that results in sleep not being needed at the end of 2039.
- Otherwise, it will resolve NO.
- If mind uploading or something akin to it exists by then, then if the technology does not require some downtime it will also resolve to NO.
Mercados abiertos
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- No97%
- Yes-0.9pt3%
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will sleep be needed to live and function by 2040??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 85% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will sleep be needed to live and function by 2040??
- Está previsto que Will sleep be needed to live and function by 2040? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2039.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will sleep be needed to live and function by 2040??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This question will resolve YES if there is no known and publicly available technology that results in sleep not being needed at the end of 2039.