Will Section 4 of the 25th Amendment be invoked before Inauguration Day 2029?
PolíticaOne-OffUS Politics2a
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
No 87.7%
Pronosticadores
15
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 1 hora
Retrasado2 sept 24, 21:08 UTC20 ene 29, 16:59 UTC
Tendencias
Reglas
Section 4 of the 25th Amendment provides, in relevant part, a process to declare the President unable to perform the duties of the office.
- If the Vice President and a majority of the Cabinet (or of another body as Congress may by law provide) submit a declaration to Congress, the Vice President immediately assumes the role of Acting President.
- When this declaration is transmitted to the President pro tempore of the Senate and the Speaker of the House of Representatives to Congress, the Vice President immediately assumes the role of Acting President.
- This market will resolve YES when this initial declaration is transmitted regardless of subsequent action (e.g. congressional overruling, judicial intervention, refusal of the president to step aside, etc.).
- The invocation of Section 3 will under no circumstances resolve this market to YES unless Section 4 is invoked after the invocation of Section 3.
- Any and all Constitutional questions will be resolved in accordance with the article linked here unless the Supreme Court issues a controlling opinion that is directly contrary to an opinion expressed in the article at least 6 weeks before the invocation of Section 4.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Section 4 of the 25th Amendment be invoked before Inauguration Day 2029??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 88% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Section 4 of the 25th Amendment be invoked before Inauguration Day 2029??
- Está previsto que Will Section 4 of the 25th Amendment be invoked before Inauguration Day 2029? se resuelva el 20 de enero de 2029.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Section 4 of the 25th Amendment be invoked before Inauguration Day 2029??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Section 4 of the 25th Amendment provides, in relevant part, a process to declare the President unable to perform the duties of the office.