Will Section IV of the 25th Amendment be used during Trump's Presidency?
PolíticaMusicOne-OffUS PoliticsEntretenimiento2a
KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aproximadaProbabilidad implícita actualSí 27%
Calidad del mercado
72 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
0,7 €
Liquidez
51,8 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
27.0% / 28.0%
Spread
3.7%
Spread moderadoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 17 minutos
26 ene 25, 15:0020 ene 29, 15:00
Tendencias
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
Yes27%
Comparar plataformas· No
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h| Plataforma | Calidad | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiEsta páginaMejor en general | Media | 73% | — | 0,7 € | 51,8 mil € | hace 17 minutos | |
 Manifold Markets90% de coincidencia · verificado | — | 90% | — | — | — | hace 17 días | Abrir → |
También disponible en Manifold Markets
Will the 25th Amendment be invoked as to transfer presidential authority from Trump?
2a
9.9%
90.1%
Pronóstico comunitario46 pronosticadoresTipo: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSReglas
If, as part of Section IV of the 25th Amendment, the Vice President (and a majority of the Cabinet or some other body designated by Congress) transmit to Congress a written declaration that the President is unable to discharge the powers and duties of his office before January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
Tendencia de volumen
$0.823 jul9d de datos11 jul
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If, as part of Section IV of the 25th Amendment, the Vice President (and a majority of the Cabinet or some other body designated by Congress) transmit to Congress a written declaration that the President is unable to discharge the powers and duties of his office before January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.