Will Sam Bankman-Fried successfully appeal any of his convictions or sentence?
PolíticaOne-OffCrimen y justiciaCriptoElecciónRegulación5dManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 97%
Pronosticadores
28
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 14 minutos
4 nov 23, 22:31 UTC1 nov 26, 7:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsReglas
Resolves YES if any of his 7 convictions are overturned or he asks for and gets a resentencing.
- Resolves NO when his direct appeal is over or his time to appeal has lapsed, e.g. cert denied at SCOTUS.
- Update 2026-06-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): A presidential pardon does not count as a successful appeal and would resolve the market NO.
