Pronóstico comunitario actual
No 89.5%
Pronosticadores
11
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 14 horas
Desactualizado13 abr 26, 14:28 UTC5 mar 29, 7:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
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Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Sahra Wagenknecht Alliance (BSW) receives at least 5% of the party list votes ("Zweitstimme") in the next German federal election.
- It will resolve to "No" otherwise.
- The official result will be determined by the Federal Returning Officer (Die Bundeswahlleiterin).
- Verification can be made via the official website at https://www.bundeswahlleiterin.de/.
- If the party meets the threshold through winning three constituencies despite failing the 5% party list vote, the market will still resolve to "Yes."
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Sahra Wagenknecht Alliance get at least 5% in the next Bundestag election??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 90% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Sahra Wagenknecht Alliance get at least 5% in the next Bundestag election??
- Está previsto que Will Sahra Wagenknecht Alliance get at least 5% in the next Bundestag election? se resuelva el 5 de marzo de 2029.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Sahra Wagenknecht Alliance get at least 5% in the next Bundestag election??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolution criteria