Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNot before 31 December 2030 80.3%Líder entre 6 opciones
Pronosticadores
14
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
-2.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 16 horas
Desactualizado21 dic 25, 5:14 UTC21 dic 30, 5:12 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
PolymarketWill the House vote on impeaching Pete Hegseth?
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PolymarketPete Hegseth departure announced?
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PolymarketPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?
KalshiReglas
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves based on whether Pete Hegseth is convicted and imprisoned for any crime by December 31, 2030.
- The specific year of imprisonment determines which answer resolves yes.
- If Hegseth is imprisoned in multiple years, the market resolves to the earliest year.
- The market resolves to "the named outcome" if no imprisonment occurs by that date.
- Resolution will be determined by official court records and credible news reporting of a conviction and subsequent incarceration.