Will OpenAI, Google Deepmind or Anthropic de-domicile from the UK/US before 2027?
IAOne-OffTecnología20d
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 93.4%
Pronosticadores
20
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 17 minutos
1 nov 23, 12:50 UTC10 nov 26, 23:59 UTC
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI, Google DeepMind, or Anthropic officially announce and complete the relocation of their headquarters from the UK or the US to another country before the end of 2026.
- The relocation must be officially recognized and reported by reputable sources such as the company's official website, press releases, or mainstream news outlets.
- The term "de-domicile" or "relocate" in this context refers to the act of moving the primary legal and official headquarters of the company, not just opening an additional office or subsidiary in another country.
- If such a relocation is announced but not completed before the end of 2026, the market will resolve to "No".
- The market will also resolve to "No" if a relocation is announced and completed after the expiry date of December 31, 2026.
- In the event of a dispute over whether a location qualifies as a company's headquarters, the most recent documentation submitted to relevant business registration bodies in the current and proposed new jurisdiction will be used to determine the resolution.