Pronóstico comunitario actual
No 75.2%
Pronosticadores
4
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 15 horas
Desactualizado29 jun 26, 4:11 UTC4 dic 26, 13:25 UTC
Tendencias
Reglas
This market resolves YES if the initial BLS Employment Situation release for November 2026 reports that total nonfarm payroll employment increased by at least 150,000 jobs.
- Use the headline establishment-survey change in total nonfarm payroll employment, seasonally adjusted.
- A value of +150,000 or higher resolves YES.
- A value of +149,000 or lower resolves NO.
- Negative values resolve NO.
- Do not use the unemployment rate, household-survey employment, labor-force participation, ADP, initial claims, JOLTS, private-payrolls-only, sector payrolls, state payrolls, forecast consensus, or later revisions unless BLS corrects the initial November 2026 release before resolution.
Mercados abiertos
Inflation
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+3.0pt52.5%
- No change-3.0pt46.5%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 89,5 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 2,3 M €
KALSHICPI in August
- Above -0.3%99%
- Above -0.1%99%
- Above 0.0%99%
+12 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 323,8 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 25,3 mil €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 523 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 22 mil €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+1.0pt54.3%
- September Meeting+3.0pt45.7%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 resultados más
POLYMARKETArgentina Monthly Inflation - August
- 1.5-1.7%-9.9pt68.8%
- 1.8-2.0%+8.2pt26%
- 1.2-1.4%-3.0pt3.1%
+5 resultados más
KALSHIWill the Citrini scenario happen?
- No83%
- Yes17%
- Volumen total
- 22,3 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 4,4 mil €
- August Inflation US - Annual
- Core CPI MoM - August 2026
- August Inflation US - Monthly
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
- Fed rate hike in 2026?
- Core PCE YoY - August 2026
- Will the year-over-year change in the US Core CPI exceed 2.4% in August 2026?
- Will the year-over-year change in the US Core CPI exceed 2.2% in August 2026?
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- Egg prices up in August?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will November 2026 U.S. nonfarm payroll employment increase by at least 150,000??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 75% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will November 2026 U.S. nonfarm payroll employment increase by at least 150,000??
- Está previsto que Will November 2026 U.S. nonfarm payroll employment increase by at least 150,000? se resuelva el 4 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will November 2026 U.S. nonfarm payroll employment increase by at least 150,000??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market resolves YES if the initial BLS Employment Situation release for November 2026 reports that total nonfarm payroll employment increased by at least 150,000 jobs.