Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 80.9%
Pronosticadores
5
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 9 horas
Desactualizado29 oct 25, 13:57 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
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Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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KalshiReglas
Los criterios de resolución aún no están disponibles para este mercado. Las próximas actualizaciones completarán esta sección cuando se hayan guardado las reglas de la fuente.
Mercados abiertos
Society & CulturePOLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
- 40-64+4.5pt48%
- 65-8929.4%
- <40+2.0pt13.7%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 38,6 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 9,7 mil €
KALSHIWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
- No86%
- Yes+12.0pt14%
- Volumen total
- 10,6 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 3,9 mil €
KALSHIWill NJ Transit rail on-time performance reach 90% in November?
- No87%
- Yes+1.0pt13%
- Volumen total
- 8,3 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 1,5 mil €
POLYMARKETWill Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
- No-4.5pt75.3%
- Yes+4.5pt24.8%
- Volumen total
- 14,4 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 807,6 €
FORECASTEXWill Massachusetts Institute of Technology rank first overall in 2027?
- No82%
- Yes18%
- Volumen total
- 515,7 €
- Volumen 24h
- 515,7 €
FORECASTEXWill Princeton University rank first overall in 2027?
- Yes85%
- No15%
- Volumen total
- 515,7 €
- Volumen 24h
- 515,7 €
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will @NickyCase consider herself a rationalist by 2027??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 81% a fecha de 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will @NickyCase consider herself a rationalist by 2027??
- Está previsto que Will @NickyCase consider herself a rationalist by 2027? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.