Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 68.6%
Pronosticadores
5
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 5 horas
Desactualizado4 ago 26, 4:42 UTC4 ago 36, 4:42 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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Manifold MarketsReglas
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if Neal Dunn dies before Mitch McConnell.
- This market resolves to NO if Mitch McConnell dies before Neal Dunn.
- Source of Truth: Resolution will be determined by official announcements of death reported by major reputable news outlets (e.g., Associated Press, Reuters, The New York Times).
- Same-Day Deaths: If both individuals die on the same calendar day, the market will resolve based on the official time of death.
- If the precise sequence of deaths cannot be verified from official reports, the market will resolve to 50%.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Mitch McConnell outlive Neal Dunn??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 69% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Mitch McConnell outlive Neal Dunn??
- Está previsto que Will Mitch McConnell outlive Neal Dunn? se resuelva el 4 de agosto de 2036.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Mitch McConnell outlive Neal Dunn??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolution criteria