Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 60.2%
Pronosticadores
118
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 5 horas
Desactualizado26 ene 24, 0:32 UTC1 ene 33, 7:59 UTC
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Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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PredictItReglas
We’ve got two 81 year old career politicians, born in 1942, from opposing sides of the aisle.
- Will Cocaine Mitch croak before Scranton Joe? Can Grandpa Biden outlast Ol’ Man McConnell?
- This market will extend as needed.
Mercados abiertos
US PoliticsPOLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+1.4pt98%
- $25M+0.8pt95%
- $50M+10.0pt95%
+4 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 855,7 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 683,4 mil €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.2%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt15.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 183,6 M €
- Volumen 24h
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- Helena Foulkes-0.4pt97.1%
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POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party-1.0pt84%
- Republican Party16%
- Volumen total
- 24,3 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 215,2 mil €
POLYMARKETPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Gadi Eizenkot+2.8pt57.6%
- Benjamin Netanyahu+1.0pt28.3%
- Naftali Bennett-1.0pt7.1%
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
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- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- NJ-07 House winner?
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- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
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- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Mitch McConnell die before Joe Biden??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 60% a fecha de 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Mitch McConnell die before Joe Biden??
- Está previsto que Will Mitch McConnell die before Joe Biden? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2033.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Mitch McConnell die before Joe Biden??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: We’ve got two 81 year old career politicians, born in 1942, from opposing sides of the aisle.