Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 99%
Pronosticadores
95
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 32 minutos
12 jul 23, 17:10 UTC31 dic 30, 22:59 UTC
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@Mira is developing powerful AI systems which may be powerful enough to cause human extinction, by misuse or by misalignment.
- Will @Mira cause human extinction by 2030?
- The market will resolve as YES if:
- @Mira 's actions directly lead to the extinction of humanity by the end of 2030.
- The market will resolve as NO if any of:
- Human extinction is caused by another entity or circumstance before 2030.