Will Manifold Markets stop allowing wagers on the death of individual humans by February 28, 2027 (2/28/27)?
One-OffSociety & Culture5mManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 90.5%
Pronosticadores
10
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 6 horas
Desactualizado11 jul 26, 13:10 UTC27 feb 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
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KalshiReglas
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if, at any point on or before February 28, 2027 (11:59 PM UTC), Manifold Markets officially implements a platform-wide ban or halts all new wagers on the death of individual humans (commonly referred to as "death markets").
- To qualify for a YES resolution, this policy shift must be officially communicated or enacted through one of the following:
- An official announcement on the Manifold Discord or the Manifold Changelog/Blog declaring a ban on creating or betting on markets predicting the death, assassination, or survival of specific, individual human beings.
- An update to the official Manifold Community Guidelines or Terms of Service explicitly prohibiting markets that forecast the death of individual human beings.
- This market resolves to NO if, as of 11:59 PM UTC on February 28, 2027, users are still permitted to create and trade on markets forecasting the death or survival of specific, individual humans.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Manifold Markets stop allowing wagers on the death of individual humans by February 28, 2027 (2/28/27)??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 91% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Manifold Markets stop allowing wagers on the death of individual humans by February 28, 2027 (2/28/27)??
- Está previsto que Will Manifold Markets stop allowing wagers on the death of individual humans by February 28, 2027 (2/28/27)? se resuelva el 27 de febrero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Manifold Markets stop allowing wagers on the death of individual humans by February 28, 2027 (2/28/27)??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolution criteria