Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
No 87.2%
Pronosticadores
31
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 18 horas
Desactualizado4 feb 24, 17:45 UTC1 ene 30, 22:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Apple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027?
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Manifold MarketsBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
PolymarketReglas
It has to be published and available for every average user in the US.
- It has to feature at least some kind of 3D or 360° interface.
- Simply adding the current app with the existing UI would not lead to a resolution of YES for this question.
- If there is no such app available until January 1st, 2030, 0:00 PST, this question will resolve as NO.
- The question will immediately resolve as YES if Manifold publishes an app.
- A demolition of the app will not affect the resolution of this question.
Mercados abiertos
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $76,750 or above99%
- $76,500 or above99%
- $76,250 or above99%
+77 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 1,3 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 1,3 M €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
- $78,400 or above99%
- $78,300 or above99%
- $78,200 or above99%
+97 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 1,1 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 802,6 mil €
KALSHIBTC 15 min · $78,547.84 target
- Yes60%
- No40%
- Volumen total
- 736,5 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 585,6 mil €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,500 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 resultados más
- Volumen total
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- 180-199+10.0pt31.4%
- 200-219+8.0pt22.9%
- 160-179-4.0pt19.1%
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KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 88° to 89°+9.0pt37%
- 90° or above+11.0pt28%
- 86° to 87°-12.0pt25%
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- Volumen total
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Manifold develop an app for the Apple Vision Pro by EOY 2029??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 87% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Manifold develop an app for the Apple Vision Pro by EOY 2029??
- Está previsto que Will Manifold develop an app for the Apple Vision Pro by EOY 2029? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2030.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Manifold develop an app for the Apple Vision Pro by EOY 2029??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: It has to be published and available for every average user in the US.