Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
No 73.3%
Pronosticadores
26
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 5 horas
Desactualizado5 feb 24, 22:11 UTC2 ene 28, 7:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Apple Vision Pro discontinued before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill the Apple Vision Pro be worn in public in 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill people be wearing the Apple Vision Pro in public in London by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsApple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027?
PolymarketHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
KalshiBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiReglas
Resolves Yes if credible media reports comes out of a person crashing a car while wearing Apple Vision Pro.
- They must be wearing it at the time of the accident, and must be the one driving.
- Resolves No if this doesn't happen by 2028.
Mercados abiertos
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $76,750 or above99%
- $76,500 or above99%
- $76,250 or above99%
+77 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 1,3 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 1,3 M €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
- $78,400 or above99%
- $78,300 or above99%
- $78,200 or above99%
+97 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 1,1 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 802,6 mil €
KALSHIBTC 15 min · $78,547.84 target
- Yes60%
- No40%
- Volumen total
- 736,5 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 585,6 mil €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,500 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 resultados más
- Volumen total
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 180-199+10.0pt31.4%
- 200-219+8.0pt22.9%
- 160-179-4.0pt19.1%
+23 resultados más
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 88° to 89°+9.0pt37%
- 90° or above+11.0pt28%
- 86° to 87°-12.0pt25%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
- Where will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
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- Nasdaq-100 price on Sep 8, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Highest temperature in Miami on Sep 8, 2026?
- Which company has the best AI model end of September?
- Best AI at the end of 2026?
- ETH price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Someone Crashes A Car Wearing Apple Vision Pro?
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 73% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Someone Crashes A Car Wearing Apple Vision Pro?
- Está previsto que Someone Crashes A Car Wearing Apple Vision Pro se resuelva el 2 de enero de 2028.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Someone Crashes A Car Wearing Apple Vision Pro?
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolves Yes if credible media reports comes out of a person crashing a car while wearing Apple Vision Pro.