Will Lula be a key actor in the peace between Ukraine and Russia?
PolíticaOne-OffGeopolíticaRusia / UcraniaAmérica Latina2a
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPronóstico comunitario actualNo 95%
Pronosticadores
16
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 2 horas
Desactualizado23 feb 23, 17:28 UTC1 ene 29, 2:59 UTC
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Folha: https://www1.folha.uol.com.br/mundo/2023/02/russia-avalia-proposta-de-paz-de-lula-para-guerra-da-ucrania.shtml
- "The Russian government is analyzing the proposal made by the Brazilian president, Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (PT), for the creation of a group of countries not involved in the War in Ukraine to try to mediate a peaceful way out of the conflict that completes one year in this Friday (24)."
- I won't bet here, but I will donate M$1,000 for the person with the largest amount of shares if this market ever resolves to YES.
- I consider pivotal if it's generaly considered by the media that Lula charisma and Brazil non-aligment was a key factor for the peace.
- I'll use my own judgement and the mainstream media.
- If the Ukraine War ends without Lula pivotal role, this market resolves to NO.
