Will "llm assistant personas seem increasingly inco..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
IAOne-Off1a
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 80%
Pronosticadores
4
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 16 horas
Desactualizado29 abr 26, 16:35 UTC1 feb 28, 0:00 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Daily LLM assistant personal usage exceeds 2 hours for >10% of users on any platform by end-2026?
Manifold MarketsAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
KalshiAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
PolymarketAI beats Minecraft (RSG) in under 10 minutes before 2027?
Manifold MarketsBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiReglas
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.
- Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2026 Review resolves in February 2028.
- This market will resolve to 100% if the post llm assistant personas seem increasingly incoherent (some subjective observations) is one of the top fifty posts of the 2026 Review, and 0% otherwise.
- The market was initialized to 14%.