Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 87.1%
Pronosticadores
57
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 8 horas
Desactualizado27 sept 25, 17:31 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
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PolymarketReglas
RSG = Random Seed Glitchless
- Must be Java version CAN:
- Can use scaffolds or similar.
- Cannot slow down game time or stuff like that.
- Can't get human help.
- Can't reverse engineer (by running scripts) what seed it is in from world features to know where structures will be before seeing them (eg blind travelling to the stronghold)
Mercados abiertos
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max-12.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 135,2 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 102,7 mil €
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+6.5pt62.1%
- 2027-3.5pt28.4%
- 2026+2.0pt9.5%
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.7pt61.4%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt22.8%
- Grok-0.1pt7.9%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 9,1 M €
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-1.0pt11.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 325 mil €
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-2.5pt66%
- 1490+-9.0pt51%
- 1500+-3.0pt23%
+2 resultados más
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
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- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
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- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de AI beats Minecraft (RSG) in under 10 minutes before 2027??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 87% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve AI beats Minecraft (RSG) in under 10 minutes before 2027??
- Está previsto que AI beats Minecraft (RSG) in under 10 minutes before 2027? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida AI beats Minecraft (RSG) in under 10 minutes before 2027??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: RSG = Random Seed Glitchless