Will Kim Ju Ae be formally designated as the heir to Kim Jong Un in 2026?
One-OffPolíticaGeopolítica3mManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 88.8%
Pronosticadores
14
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 9 horas
Desactualizado12 feb 26, 20:15 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
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FutuurReglas
Requires a formal announcement from North Korean government.
- Will resolve based on a consensus of popular reporting: not just that intelligence analysis or reading between the lines indicates Kim Ju Ae as the likely successor, but reporting indicating that North Korea has formally designated Kim Ju Ae as the next leader after Kim Jong Un.
- Resolves when this occurs, even if later in the year, this is changed or undone.
- If her name is different than Kim Ju Ae, but we're still referring to the 12-14 year old daughter of Kim Jong Un (his ~probably second oldest child), then that's fine, given that her name is uncertain at the moment.
- I will not bet on this market, so as to remain unbiased as to what constitutes a formal announcement of her position as heir.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Kim Ju Ae be formally designated as the heir to Kim Jong Un in 2026??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 89% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Kim Ju Ae be formally designated as the heir to Kim Jong Un in 2026??
- Está previsto que Will Kim Ju Ae be formally designated as the heir to Kim Jong Un in 2026? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Kim Ju Ae be formally designated as the heir to Kim Jong Un in 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Requires a formal announcement from North Korean government.