Pronóstico comunitario actual
No 97.1%
Pronosticadores
28
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 14 horas
Desactualizado13 jun 24, 7:43 UTC31 dic 31, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Keir Starmer be UK Prime Minister at the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Keir Starmer be UK Prime Minister at the end of 2029?
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PolymarketNext leader out of power before 2027? (No Starmer or Petro)
PolymarketReglas
Resolves YES if Keir Starmer is UK Prime Minister on 31 December 2031.
- (Note that if there is a general election in the summer of 2029, then the end of 2031 will be 2.5 years into that parliament.
- However, Starmer doesn't have to be PM for all that period to resolve YES, merely be PM on 31 Dec 2031).
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Keir Starmer be UK Prime Minister at the end of 2031??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 97% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Keir Starmer be UK Prime Minister at the end of 2031??
- Está previsto que Will Keir Starmer be UK Prime Minister at the end of 2031? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2031.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Keir Starmer be UK Prime Minister at the end of 2031??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolves YES if Keir Starmer is UK Prime Minister on 31 December 2031.