Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual> 1 month 99%Líder entre 10 opciones
Pronosticadores
27
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 9 horas
Desactualizado13 may 26, 23:42 UTC13 sept 30, 23:42 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Keir Starmer's successor have a longer tenure as prime minister than Keir?
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Resolution criteria
- This market resolves based on the duration of the next UK Prime Minister's continuous tenure after Keir Starmer, starting from the date they are officially sworn into office.
- The duration will be measured by the time elapsed between their appointment and the date they officially leave office (the day their successor is appointed or they formally resign/are removed).
- Resolution will be determined using the official records from gov.uk and major credible news outlets such as the BBC or Reuters.
- Each answer option corresponds to the PM remaining in office for a duration strictly greater than the specified time.
- If multiple options are met (e.g., if a PM stays for 2 years, the "> 1 month," "> 6 months," and "> 1 year" options will all resolve YES), this market allows for independent resolution of each answer.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Next UK prime minister tenure? (After Keir Starmer)?
- Manifold Markets cotiza > 1 month al 99% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Next UK prime minister tenure? (After Keir Starmer)?
- Está previsto que Next UK prime minister tenure? (After Keir Starmer) se resuelva el 13 de septiembre de 2030.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Next UK prime minister tenure? (After Keir Starmer)?
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolution criteria