Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 52.9%
Pronosticadores
46
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 10 minutos
7 jul 24, 1:41 UTC1 ene 29, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Kamala Harris be elected President in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill the 2028 Republican presidential candidate win any state Kamala Harris won in 2024?
Manifold MarketsWill Kamala Harris be the Democratic Party Nominee for President for the 2028 election?
Manifold MarketsWill Kamala Harris run for California Governor?
KalshiWill Kamala Harris win the Democratic Nomination for US President in 2028?
ForecastExWhen will Kamala Harris announce her presidential candidacy?
KalshiReglas
Must be as the presidential candidate, not vice president to another person
- Must be a serious campaign as by my judgement
Mercados abiertos
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 605,7 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 697,7 mil €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 resultados más
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
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KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 183,4 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 471,3 mil €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 resultados más
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Kamala Harris run in the 2028 election primary??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 53% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Kamala Harris run in the 2028 election primary??
- Está previsto que Will Kamala Harris run in the 2028 election primary? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2029.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Kamala Harris run in the 2028 election primary??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Must be as the presidential candidate, not vice president to another person