Which Democrats will underperform Kamala Harris in 2026?
PolíticaOne-OffPolítica de EE. UU.Elección2m
KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requeridoDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPunto medio del libro seleccionado
Tina Kotek · —
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Precio guardado
Tina Kotek 94.5%Líder entre 9 opciones
Tina Kotek 94.5%Calidad del mercado
52 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
187,1 €
Interés abierto
21,7 mil US$
Interés abierto medioCompra / Venta
— / —
Tina KotekSpread
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Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 10 minutos
28 sept 26, 21:00 UTC4 ene 27, 13:59 UTC
El gráfico y los cambios muestran probabilidades históricas guardadas, no el libro seleccionado en directo.
Tendencias
Fila seleccionada: punto medio del libro. Otras filas: referencias guardadas, posiblemente normalizadas; los cambios de 24h usan el historial guardado.
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Kalshi
Estas condiciones son informativas; las operaciones simuladas de CoinRithm siguen sus propias reglas.
- Cierre anticipado:
- Sí
- Plazo de liquidación:
- 30m (informativo)
Profundidad de mercado · Tina Kotek
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Manifold MarketsReglas
If Troy Jackson's certified vote share in the 2026 general election is lower than Kamala Harris's certified 2024 presidential vote share in their state, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:Federal Election CommissionMaine Secretary of StateOregon Secretary of StateGeorgia Secretary of StateNew York State Board of ElectionsNew Hampshire Secretary of StateMichigan Secretary of Statethe Florida Division of ElectionsMinnesota Secretary of State
- A candidate's 2026 vote share is their share of all votes cast in the November 3, 2026 general election for the listed office, as certified by that state's official election authority, including votes received on every ballot line on which the candidate appears. Where a race uses ranked-choice tabulation or a runoff, the first-round (first-choice) share is used. Kamala Harris's 2024 vote share is her share of that state's certified 2024 presidential vote, including every ballot line on which she appeared, per the Federal Election Commission's official 2024 presidential general election results. Shares are compared unrounded. Offices: Troy Jackson, U.S. Senate (Maine); Tina Kotek, Governor (Oregon); Keisha Lance Bottoms, Governor (Georgia); Kathy Hochul, Governor (New York); Chris Pappas, U.S. Senate (New Hampshire); Abdul El-Sayed, U.S. Senate (Michigan); Angie Nixon, U.S. Senate (Florida); David Jolly, Governor (Florida); Peggy Flanagan, U.S. Senate (Minnesota). A market resolves NO if the listed person is not the Democratic nominee (for Minnesota, the Democratic-Farmer-Labor nominee) on that race's 2026 general-election ballot.
Reglas de cada resultado
- Tina Kotek
- If Tina Kotek's certified vote share in the 2026 general election is lower than Kamala Harris's certified 2024 presidential vote share in their state, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Troy Jackson
- If Troy Jackson's certified vote share in the 2026 general election is lower than Kamala Harris's certified 2024 presidential vote share in their state, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Kathy Hochul
- If Kathy Hochul's certified vote share in the 2026 general election is lower than Kamala Harris's certified 2024 presidential vote share in their state, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Peggy Flanagan
- If Peggy Flanagan's certified vote share in the 2026 general election is lower than Kamala Harris's certified 2024 presidential vote share in their state, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Keisha Lance Bottoms
- If Keisha Lance Bottoms's certified vote share in the 2026 general election is lower than Kamala Harris's certified 2024 presidential vote share in their state, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Abdul El-Sayed
- If Abdul El-Sayed's certified vote share in the 2026 general election is lower than Kamala Harris's certified 2024 presidential vote share in their state, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Angie Nixon
- If Angie Nixon's certified vote share in the 2026 general election is lower than Kamala Harris's certified 2024 presidential vote share in their state, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Chris Pappas
- If Chris Pappas's certified vote share in the 2026 general election is lower than Kamala Harris's certified 2024 presidential vote share in their state, then the market resolves to Yes.
- David Jolly
- If David Jolly's certified vote share in the 2026 general election is lower than Kamala Harris's certified 2024 presidential vote share in their state, then the market resolves to Yes.