Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 65.7%
Pronosticadores
6
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 21 horas
Desactualizado9 sept 25, 15:36 UTC8 sept 27, 18:38 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will the Fourth Circuit Court of Appeals rule in Kalshi's favor?
Manifold MarketsWhich of the Third Circuit Judges will rule in Kalshi's favor?
Manifold MarketsWill Kalshi win its lawsuit against Maryland?
Manifold MarketsWill California authorize an alternative wage or other qualifying relief from goat-herder wage and overtime obligations before Oct 1, 2026?
KalshiWill Trump announce a new trade deal in Sep 2026?
KalshiLaw banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?
PolymarketReglas
Resolution criteria
- This resolves YES if Kalshi prevails in all current appellate cases on CEA preemption against state gambling enforcement, defined as:
- Third Circuit (New Jersey): the court affirms the district court’s preliminary injunction protecting Kalshi from NJ enforcement or dismisses the appeal in a way that leaves that injunction in place.
- Docket: Kalshiex LLC v.
- Mary Jo Flaherty et al, No. 25-1922.
- (dockets.justia.com)
Mercados abiertos
RegulationPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Volumen total
- 12,5 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 220,4 mil €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+2.0pt89%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,+0.5pt85%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028-11.0pt40%
- Before Oct 1, 2027-15.0pt40%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-15.0pt32%
+7 resultados más
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+5.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 resultados más
POLYMARKETWhat will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- $1.25T–$1.5T20.4%
- $1.75T–$2.0T19.4%
- $1.5T–$1.75T18.4%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 105,1 mil €
KALSHIHow many states will adopt data center moratoriums in 2026?
- At least 3+16.0pt87%
- At least 267%
- At least 4+20.0pt66%
+1 resultados más
- Volumen total
- Who will successfully take over Warner Brothers?
- Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
- When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
- Will another state enact a data center moratorium in 2026?
- Will marijuana be rescheduled?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by September 30?
- SpaceX' Market Cap end of October 2026?
- Will Wyoming create a Digital Asset Authority?
- Space Exploration Technologies' Market Cap end of September 2026?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Kalshi sweep the Appeals court cases about pre-emption??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 66% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Kalshi sweep the Appeals court cases about pre-emption??
- Está previsto que Will Kalshi sweep the Appeals court cases about pre-emption? se resuelva el 8 de septiembre de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Kalshi sweep the Appeals court cases about pre-emption??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolution criteria