Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 97.2%
Pronosticadores
8
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 5 horas
Desactualizado10 ene 26, 13:07 UTC3 nov 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Josh Shapiro win the Pennsylvania general election for Governor in 2026?
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Manifold MarketsReglas
Resolution criteria
- The 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election will take place on November 3, 2026.
- The market resolves YES if Josh Shapiro wins the general election and NO if he loses.
- Resolution will be determined by official results from the Pennsylvania Department of State (https://www.pa.gov/en/government/how-government-works/elections.html).
- Shapiro announced in January 2026 that he would run for reelection to a second term.
- Shapiro was first elected with 56.5% of the vote in 2022, defeating Republican Doug Mastriano by 15 points.
Mercados abiertos
Politics
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Josh Shapiro be reelected?
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 97% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Josh Shapiro be reelected?
- Está previsto que Will Josh Shapiro be reelected se resuelva el 3 de noviembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Josh Shapiro be reelected?
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolution criteria