Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableAviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 27 oct 2026, 6:35 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Pronóstico comunitario actualNo 84.8%
Pronosticadores
15
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado ayer
Desactualizado9 sept 25, 0:57 UTC31 ene 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Reglas
At the end of January 2027, I will ask one of the directors of MATS at the time (currently Ryan Kidd and Christian Smith) if Ilya Sutskever has been actively involved in mentoring any of the MATS scholars in any MATS program between now and then, and resolve the market accordingly.
- The market resolves yes even if Ilya was added as a mentor after applicant selection, so Ilya doesn't need to be listed as a mentor on the MATS website.
- The ground truth is the answer from the director of MATS I ask in Jan 2027.
