Will I be the victim of an AI blackmail/ransom threat by EOY 2031?
TecnologíaIAOne-OffCrimen y justicia5a
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableAviso de calidad de datosDatos de la fuente degradados
Datos del 26 oct 2026, 6:50 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Pronóstico comunitario actualSí 50.9%
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5
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 10 horas
Desactualizado23 jun 24, 14:49 UTC31 dic 31, 22:59 UTC
Tendencias
Reglas
Market resolves YES if I am the victim of a blackmail or ransom threat that heavily relies on AI which would be significantly more difficult (or impossible) for a human to execute without AI assistance.
- The market resolves NO if this does not happen by December 31, 2031, 11:59:59 UTC.
- The attacking message cannot be marked as spam/scam by whatever medium I am receiving the message in.
- There also needs to be a reasonable chance (>0.1% of readers/listeners) that someone would fall for the scam or pay the attacker.
- Examples that would result in a YES resolution:
- I receive a call claiming a loved one is held hostage, using an AI-generated voice of that loved one, demanding ransom.
