Pronóstico comunitario actual
Sí 85.4%
Pronosticadores
5
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 15 horas
Desactualizado26 may 22, 16:15 UTC1 ene 28, 0:00 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Ontario Liberal Party leadership election winner?
KalshiWill Labour or Reform have the second leadership election between them, after 12th April 2026?
Manifold MarketsOntario Liberal Party Leadership Election Winner
PolymarketDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketWhich party will win the U.S. House?
KalshiReglas
Background info: I requested to join the Labour party on May 9th, no response yet.
Mercados abiertos
PoliticsPOLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.3pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.7pt15%
+48 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 1117,6 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 2,1 M €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance51%
- Marco Rubio+0.3pt16%
- Ron DeSantis-0.1pt3%
+39 resultados más
POLYMARKETVenezuela leader end of 2026?
- Nicolás Maduro-33.7pt51%
- Delcy Rodríguez+29.5pt42%
- No Head of State-0.3pt1%
+13 resultados más
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+0.5pt90.1%
- Republican Party-1.3pt9.9%
- Volumen total
- 29,2 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 621,6 mil €
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt94%
- Yes-2.0pt6%
- Volumen total
- 19,6 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 488,8 mil €
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep+1.0pt59%
- D-House, R-Senate+1.0pt30%
- Republicans sweep-1.3pt10%
+1 resultados más
- 2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- What will Trump say this week?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Los Angeles Mayor winner?
- Brazil Presidential Election
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Next French Presidential Election
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will I be eligible to vote in the next Labour leadership election??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 85% a fecha de 20 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will I be eligible to vote in the next Labour leadership election??
- Está previsto que Will I be eligible to vote in the next Labour leadership election? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2028.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will I be eligible to vote in the next Labour leadership election??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Background info: I requested to join the Labour party on May 9th, no response yet.