Will "How My Students Think About AI" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
IAOne-Off1aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 77.2%
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Actualizado hace 7 horas
Desactualizado17 ago 26, 13:38 UTC1 feb 28, 0:00 UTC
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KalshiBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiReglas
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.
- Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2026 Review resolves in February 2028.
- This market will resolve to 100% if the post How My Students Think About AI is one of the top fifty posts of the 2026 Review, and 0% otherwise.
- The market was initialized to 14%.
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- Volumen total
- 132,8 mil €
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- 100,3 mil €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+4.8pt60.8%
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- 9,1 M €
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KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+5.0pt80.4%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt12.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 322,4 mil €
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- 1480+-1.0pt66%
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will "How My Students Think About AI" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 77% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will "How My Students Think About AI" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review??
- Está previsto que Will "How My Students Think About AI" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? se resuelva el 1 de febrero de 2028.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will "How My Students Think About AI" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.