Will Greenland become part of the US by the end of Trump’s term?
Eventos corporativosOne-OffPolíticaPolítica de EE. UU.GeopolíticaRusia / Ucrania2aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 95%
Pronosticadores
41
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 1 hora
Retrasado8 mar 25, 13:25 UTC21 ene 29, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Kim Jong-Un visit the US during Trump's term?
KalshiWill Andrew Tate get a government position in the US during Trump's term?
Manifold MarketsWill any portion of Greenland become a US state, territory, or other federal jurisdiction by December 31, 2028?
ForecastExWill Trump declare a state no longer part of the US?
Manifold MarketsWill Frederiksen/Denmark buy or acquire part of the US?
Manifold MarketsWill a major terrorist attack with over 100 casualties be committed against the US during Trump's current term?
Manifold MarketsReglas
Greenland is currently an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark with a population of about 56,000 people.
- The island has strategic importance due to its location in the Arctic, mineral resources, and potential shipping routes as polar ice melts.
- In 2019, former U.S. President Donald Trump expressed interest in purchasing Greenland, which was firmly rejected by both Danish and Greenlandic officials.
- Recent polling shows that approximately 85% of Greenlanders oppose becoming part of the United States, with only 6% in favor and 9% undecided.
- Greenland's government has consistently stated that the territory is "not for sale and never will be for sale."
- The United States maintains a military presence in Greenland at Thule Air Base, established during the Cold War.
Comparación de fuentes de predicción
- También disponible en Kalshi — Will the US take control of any part of Greenland? · Before January 21, 2029 22%
- También disponible en Manifold Markets — Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No 97%
- También disponible en Polymarket — Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No 98%
- También disponible en Limitless — Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No 55%
