Will GPT-5 be capable of achieving superhuman performance in at least one exam that is typically taken by humans?
IAOne-Off3a
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 90.6%
Pronosticadores
9
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 9 horas
Desactualizado8 may 23, 17:14 UTC1 ene 30, 14:59 UTC
Tendencias
Reglas
Resolved to YES if there is at least one exam that humans typically take, where GPT-5 or an equivalent flagship model from OpenAI displays superhuman performance.
- The exact name 'GPT-5' is not necessary.
- Edit: To be ‘superhuman’, a GPT-5 or equivalent model has to score higher than the best humans on the same task.
- If they tie, it only counts if both have a perfect score.
