Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 78.5%
Pronosticadores
9
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 8 horas
Desactualizado15 jun 26, 17:51 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsReglas
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if GitHub officially announces or implements a reversal of the usage-based token billing model (which utilizes GitHub AI Credits) introduced on June 1, 2026, and returns to a legacy model such as a request-based billing system (Premium Request Units) or a standard flat-rate billing system for active GitHub Copilot subscriptions.
- This market resolves to NO if no such structural reversion is announced or implemented by December 31, 2026 (or another date specified by the market creator).
- Source of Truth: Official statements on the GitHub Blog or updates within the GitHub Copilot Documentation.
- Clarification: Adjustments to the amount of included monthly AI Credits, lowering token costs, or creating new pricing tiers within the token consumption framework will not trigger a YES resolution.
- The change must be a structural departure from billing strictly by input, output, and cached token consumption.
Mercados abiertos
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
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- 160,5 mil €
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+4.0pt73%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-5-max+4.0pt5%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+3.0pt90%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,85%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 2,3 M €
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- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt13.1%
- Gemini-3.0pt1.9%
+4 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 344,9 mil €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+3.6pt62%
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- Grok-0.2pt8%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 9,1 M €
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- 1480+-7.5pt63%
- 1490+-9.0pt54%
- 1500+-1.0pt28%
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Github Copilot revert back to their original token usage plan??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 79% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Github Copilot revert back to their original token usage plan??
- Está previsto que Will Github Copilot revert back to their original token usage plan? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Github Copilot revert back to their original token usage plan??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolution criteria