Will Germany attend a Ukraine peace summit with Russia that excludes the US before 2027?
PolíticaOne-OffGeopolíticaRussia / UkraineEurope3mManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 87.8%
Pronosticadores
8
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 21 horas
Desactualizado9 feb 26, 15:20 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
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LimitlessReglas
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if Germany attends a summit or formal negotiation meeting with Russia regarding Ukraine peace that explicitly excludes the United States before January 1, 2027.
- The meeting must be officially announced or documented by German government sources, Russian government sources, or major international news outlets.
- Bilateral meetings between Germany and Russia do not count; the summit must involve Ukraine as a party or subject of discussion.
- The US exclusion must be explicit—meetings where the US simply does not participate do not qualify.
- Resolution will be determined by official government statements, press releases, or credible reporting from major news organizations.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Germany attend a Ukraine peace summit with Russia that excludes the US before 2027??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 88% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Germany attend a Ukraine peace summit with Russia that excludes the US before 2027??
- Está previsto que Will Germany attend a Ukraine peace summit with Russia that excludes the US before 2027? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Germany attend a Ukraine peace summit with Russia that excludes the US before 2027??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolution criteria