Will Germany attend a Ukraine peace summit with Russia that excludes the US before 2027?
PolíticaOne-OffGeopolíticaRusia / UcraniaEuropa2m
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 87.8%
Pronosticadores
8
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 1 hora
Retrasado9 feb 26, 15:20 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
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Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if Germany attends a summit or formal negotiation meeting with Russia regarding Ukraine peace that explicitly excludes the United States before January 1, 2027.
- The meeting must be officially announced or documented by German government sources, Russian government sources, or major international news outlets.
- Bilateral meetings between Germany and Russia do not count; the summit must involve Ukraine as a party or subject of discussion.
- The US exclusion must be explicit—meetings where the US simply does not participate do not qualify.
- Resolution will be determined by official government statements, press releases, or credible reporting from major news organizations.
